Friday, March 10, 2017

Out Like A Lamb

Yes, I've been saving this article for March 😏

South Deals
None Vul
♠A 9
♥10 8
♦A 10 9 8 7 3
♣8 5 2
N
WE
S

YouNorthEastSouth
1 ♣
1 ♦1 ♥2 ♠3 ♥
Pass4 ♥PassPass
??

Okay, it wasn't the best 1 ♦ overcall ever but all those lovely spots made us do it. Partner's 2 ♠ preempt was barely a speed bump for the opponents on their way to game. Now what?

ANSWER: I hope you recognize this as an easy problem. Pass; there is no second choice.

Were you considering a double? With only two defensive tricks, and partner having shown a weak hand, the odds aren't great that we can set 4 ♥. Yes, if partner has a singleton diamond and another trick somewhere, the opponents will be down one for +100 instead of +50. But if not, you'll score -590 instead of -420. Not a very good bet if you ask me...

Were you considering 4 ♠? That train already left the station. If you were bidding 4 ♠ on this hand, you should have done so on the previous round over 3 ♥. That would have put pressure on the opponents, forcing them to make a 3-or-5 decision. Even bidding 3 ♠ last time around might have made their life a little bit more difficult. But now the opponents have everything they need to make the right decision over your obvious sacrifice:
  • they have freely bid game and are now in a forcing pass auction; they can judge their respective strength with some accuracy
  • you didn't bid 3 ♠ competitively, suggesting that you thought 3 ♠ was hopeless (down 2) and thus 4 ♠ will be down 3!
THE PRINCIPLE: Taking a deliberate obvious sacrifice is almost always a mistake. Preempting aggressively -- taking bidding space away from the opponents -- is fine; it forces the opponents to make choices in the absence of better information. Bidding one more in a competitive who-knows-who-can-make-what auction is fine. But obvious sacrifices usually turn out badly because the opponents already know enough to make a good decision. And the lie of the cards that lets you get out for -300 often means you have defensive tricks to set them; there are no good sacrifices against an unmakeable contract.

So, come in like a lion if you wish, but be willing to go out like a lamb. And remember that sacrificial lambs just get slaughtered...

South Deals
None Vul
♠7 2
♥A 7 6 4 3
♦K Q J 6 5 2
♣—
♠A 9
♥10 8
♦A 10 9 8 7 3
♣8 5 2
N
WE
S
♠Q 10 8 6 5 3
♥Q 5 2
♦—
♣Q 10 7 6
♠K J 4
♥K J 9
♦4
♣A K J 9 4 3

-- Ray
Better Bridge in 5 Minutes  Guaranteed! (or the next one is free)

Wednesday, March 8, 2017

A Double From Nowhere

None Vul
♠10 7 2
♥A Q J 10 8 6
♦6
♣7 4 3
N
WE
S

YouNorthEastSouth
2 ♥PassPass2 NT
PassPassDblPass
?

Playing against expert opponents, you have a straightforward 2 ♥ opening. Your right-hand opponent balances with 2 NT. Two more passes, and partner doubles.Your bid?

The real question here is: What does partner have for her double?
  • If she has a great fit for hearts, she would have raised hearts immediately.
  • If she has a decent hand with a heart fit, she would have raised hearts immediately.
  • If she has a strong hand, with or without hearts, she would have taken some action over 2 ♥.
There is no point to a takeout double here, because you've already described your hand as limited with a single suit. Partner's double must therefore be for penalties.

ANSWER: Pass. The only plausible reason for partner to make a penalty double here is that she has a running suit and she needs you to lead it.

So, this is really an opening lead problem disguised as a bidding problem. In the absence of partner's double, your best chance would be for partner to get in and lead a heart through declarer's king. You might reasonably think that declarer has a strong diamond suit, and thus be reluctant to lead your singleton diamond. But knowing that partner has a running suit somewhere, diamonds are the most likely possibility.

THE PRINCIPLE: An "out-of-nowhere" penalty double of a notrump contract shows a solid suit with enough tricks to defeat the contract. The opening leader must take her best shot at finding that suit.

None Vul
♠Q J 4
♥7 4
♦7 4 3
♣Q J 10 6 2
♠10 7 2
♥A Q J 10 8 6
♦6
♣7 4 3
N
WE
S
♠8 5 3
♥5 3
♦A K Q J 9 5
♣9 8
♠A K 9 6
♥K 9 2
♦10 8 2
♣A K 5

2NT by South is down three after a diamond lead, but makes at least three on any other opening lead. Partner has no reason to bid diamonds after your 2 ♥ opening.

-- Ray 
Better Bridge in 5 Minutes.  Guaranteed! (or the next one is free)