Friday, March 10, 2017

Out Like A Lamb

Yes, I've been saving this article for March 😏

South Deals
None Vul
A 9
10 8
A 10 9 8 7 3
8 5 2
N
WE
S

YouNorthEastSouth
1 
1 1 2 3 
Pass4 PassPass
??

Okay, it wasn't the best 1  overcall ever but all those lovely spots made us do it. Partner's 2  preempt was barely a speed bump for the opponents on their way to game. Now what?

ANSWER: I hope you recognize this as an easy problem. Pass; there is no second choice.

Were you considering a double? With only two defensive tricks, and partner having shown a weak hand, the odds aren't great that we can set 4 . Yes, if partner has a singleton diamond and another trick somewhere, the opponents will be down one for +100 instead of +50. But if not, you'll score -590 instead of -420. Not a very good bet if you ask me...

Were you considering 4 ? That train already left the station. If you were bidding 4  on this hand, you should have done so on the previous round over 3 . That would have put pressure on the opponents, forcing them to make a 3-or-5 decision. Even bidding 3  last time around might have made their life a little bit more difficult. But now the opponents have everything they need to make the right decision over your obvious sacrifice:
  • they have freely bid game and are now in a forcing pass auction; they can judge their respective strength with some accuracy
  • you didn't bid 3  competitively, suggesting that you thought 3  was hopeless (down 2) and thus 4  will be down 3!
THE PRINCIPLE: Taking a deliberate obvious sacrifice is almost always a mistake. Preempting aggressively -- taking bidding space away from the opponents -- is fine; it forces the opponents to make choices in the absence of better information. Bidding one more in a competitive who-knows-who-can-make-what auction is fine. But obvious sacrifices usually turn out badly because the opponents already know enough to make a good decision. And the lie of the cards that lets you get out for -300 often means you have defensive tricks to set them; there are no good sacrifices against an unmakeable contract.

So, come in like a lion if you wish, but be willing to go out like a lamb. And remember that sacrificial lambs just get slaughtered...

South Deals
None Vul
7 2
A 7 6 4 3
K Q J 6 5 2
A 9
10 8
A 10 9 8 7 3
8 5 2
N
WE
S
Q 10 8 6 5 3
Q 5 2
Q 10 7 6
K J 4
K J 9
4
A K J 9 4 3

-- Ray
Better Bridge in 5 Minutes  Guaranteed! (or the next one is free)

Wednesday, March 8, 2017

A Double From Nowhere

None Vul
10 7 2
A Q J 10 8 6
6
7 4 3
N
WE
S

YouNorthEastSouth
2 PassPass2 NT
PassPassDblPass
?

Playing against expert opponents, you have a straightforward 2  opening. Your right-hand opponent balances with 2 NT. Two more passes, and partner doubles.Your bid?

The real question here is: What does partner have for her double?
  • If she has a great fit for hearts, she would have raised hearts immediately.
  • If she has a decent hand with a heart fit, she would have raised hearts immediately.
  • If she has a strong hand, with or without hearts, she would have taken some action over 2 .
There is no point to a takeout double here, because you've already described your hand as limited with a single suit. Partner's double must therefore be for penalties.

ANSWER: Pass. The only plausible reason for partner to make a penalty double here is that she has a running suit and she needs you to lead it.

So, this is really an opening lead problem disguised as a bidding problem. In the absence of partner's double, your best chance would be for partner to get in and lead a heart through declarer's king. You might reasonably think that declarer has a strong diamond suit, and thus be reluctant to lead your singleton diamond. But knowing that partner has a running suit somewhere, diamonds are the most likely possibility.

THE PRINCIPLE: An "out-of-nowhere" penalty double of a notrump contract shows a solid suit with enough tricks to defeat the contract. The opening leader must take her best shot at finding that suit.

None Vul
Q J 4
7 4
7 4 3
Q J 10 6 2
10 7 2
A Q J 10 8 6
6
7 4 3
N
WE
S
8 5 3
5 3
A K Q J 9 5
9 8
A K 9 6
K 9 2
10 8 2
A K 5

2NT by South is down three after a diamond lead, but makes at least three on any other opening lead. Partner has no reason to bid diamonds after your 2  opening.

-- Ray 
Better Bridge in 5 Minutes.  Guaranteed! (or the next one is free)